Stock Picks – 52 Week Low Screen

52 Week Low

Big pop in Oil this morning – OPEC apparently has agreed to production cuts:

Since OPEC is notorious for cheating on production, over the long run I see the Oil glut continuing – since any short-term pop in Oil prices will only encourage more production from OPEC and Non-OPEC producers.

Same two Pharmaceutical companies pass the 52-Week Low screen this week:

Ticker Price Fair Value Margin of Safety Yield %
BAYRY $94.48 $139.00 $44.52 3.0%
NVO $32.72 $39.00 $6.28 4.3%

Click on the links to research further.

I would love to see Novo Nordisk drop a little more – and sell some puts around $27.

52 Week Low stock picks are based on the following screen:

  1. Morningstar analysis available.
  2. Less than 5% above its 52 week low.
  3. Greater than or equal to Narrow moat.
  4. Free cash flow/enterprise value greater than 5% (should be above what the 10 Year Treasury Bond is yielding).
  5. Financial Health Grade >= B.
  6. Forward P/E <= 20.
  7. Stock Industry not = Asset Management
  8. Dividend Yield % >= 3
  9. For candidates that have passed all the filters, review the individual stocks Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for the previous 10 years to select the best long term candidates.

Extra: Morningstar has their Monthly “Ultimate Stock-Pickers” listing out today – always worth a read:

z - even even smaller

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