Alternative Screen: Stocks Trading at 75% or Lower to Fair Value

Market has been in rally mode – and I have more than enough exposure to it with my GILD stock purchase from last week.  Shiller PE shot above 26 this morning – markets looks fully valued to overvalued to me right now – good time to sit on your hands, and read a good book.

Click here are some good book recommendations.

My 52 Week Low screen came up with nada this week – so I had to go with this alternative screen:

Ticker Price Fair Value Margin of Safety Yield %
WSM $50.89 76 $25.11 2.8%
BMRN $88.73 132 $43.27 0.0%
GILD $86.58 124 $37.42 2.0%
BAYRY $98.17 139 $40.83 2.9%

Click on the link to research further.

I find the Williams-Sonoma story pretty compelling – so I will be researching its metrics and discussing the brands with my wife, since she knows a lot more than me about what retail brands are still considered viable.  I like the brands – especially Pottery Barn, but I need to make sure this is not another story like the GAP – which just keeps getting cheaper.

Results are based on the following screen:

  1. Price / Fair Value <= 0.75
  2. Economic Moat >= Narrow
  3. Financial Health Grade >= B
  4. Morningstar Rating = Five Stars

z - even even smaller

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