Market Trend: Are you Lucky?

Market Traget Crossword

Nice piece in Bloomberg today about the role Luck plays in your life:

I just finished a very good book on the same subject, highly recommend it if you can handle the math:

[AMAZONPRODUCTS asin=”B00A07FR4W”]

Markets are down right now – let’s take a look:

The following table is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average -3 1
SPX S&P 500 INDEX -3 1
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX -2 1
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX -2 1
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX 3 2
/ZB[Z6] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH 2 3
/ZN[Z6] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH 2 2
/GC[Z6] Gold Futures, ETH -3 -2
/CL[V6] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH -2 -2
/DX[U6] US Dollar Index Futures 3 2
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average -2 1
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX 1 3
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX -2 1
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX -3 -2
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX -2 1
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX -2 -2
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX -3 -2
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX -3 -2
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND 3 3

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

Market isn’t doing much of anything – most major assets seem to be flat to rolling over – Financial Stocks being a noticeable exception.

z - even even smaller

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