Market Trend: Bank of England Sugar Rush

Market Traget Crossword

Market futures are higher – reacting to the Bank of England cutting rates to near zero and implementing more QE – buying corporate bonds, etc….

Seems like a desperate move to me – and I am not sure how lower interest rates offset the imminent Brexit recession.  But the market has been conditioned to rise whenever a Central Bank anywhere in the World injects heroin into the global system.  I don’t expect the move to last long – suspect it is just a sugar rush.

How have the Markets done over the last week?  Let’s take a look:

The following table is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average 1 3
SPX S&P 500 INDEX 1 3
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX 3 3
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX 3 3
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX -3 -3
/ZB[U6] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH 3 3
/ZN[U6] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH 3 3
/GC[Z6] Gold Futures, ETH 3 3
/CL[U6] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH -3 -3
/DX[U6] US Dollar Index Futures -3 -2
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average -3 -2
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX 0 3
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX -2 1
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX 1 3
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX -1 1
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX -3 1
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX -2 1
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND 3 3

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

Oil has been getting crushed and the Transports have totally rolled over.  These moves usually signify a slowdown – most stocks and bonds are still levitating near their all-time highs – but for how long?

z - even even smaller

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