I don’t know about you – but I have a habit of overthinking things. Especially when it comes to making investments – and 2017 was a case study for me.
Based on my Rebalancing Portfolio Rules, I lightened up on stock as the markets kept going higher and higher.
Also, based on the rules for my Preferred Options Strategies, I was not making any options trades for income.
So I basically did nothing to adjust for lower equity holdings and my 2017 performance suffered. My 8.14% return was well above my 5% annual target – but trailed the S&P 500 by over 11%! When you look at my long-term average (the past 16 years), I have beaten the S&P 500 by almost 5% annually – so I am not giving up and buying index funds anytime soon, but I feel a recalibration to my options rules is in order.
I will be casting a wider net for options income opportunities in 2018 – starting today. I reviewed all my screens and came up with 4 trade candidates:
Name | Ticker | Price | Fair Value | Margin of Safety | Yield % |
Allergan PLC | AGN | $173.53 | $263.00 | $89.47 | 1.6% |
Stericycle Inc | SRCL | $70.10 | $105.00 | $34.90 | 0.0% |
FirstEnergy Corp | FE | $29.71 | $40.00 | $10.29 | 4.8% |
Spectra Energy Partners LP | SEP | $42.04 | $50.00 | $7.96 | 6.7% |
I feel each stock offers a compelling opportunity to buy into a solid company experiencing short term negative volatility. I pulled the trigger on the first trade of 2018 today – selling puts on FirstEnergy:
- Sold: 10 February 16, 2018 Puts
- Strike Price: $29.00
- *Premium Collected: $500.00
FirstEnergy is Morningstar’s top pick in the Utility Sector, as the firm trades at an almost 25% discount to their $40 fair value estimate – so who am I to argue.
If I am forced to buy the 1000 shares, my entry price will be $28.50 per share – almost a 29% discount. FirstEnergy is currently paying a 4.8% dividend – so I feel comfortable holding this company if I am forced to buy.
Note: If you want to see an ugly chart – pull up FirstEnergy – this is not a trade for the squeamish.
*Excludes transaction costs.
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