Short and Medium Term Market Trends: 10-1-2015

Market Traget Crossword

The start to October is looking a lot like September did – unless the market can turn around in the next two hours – nothing but red:

The following chart is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average -3 -3
SPX S&P 500 INDEX -3 -3
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX -3 -3
/ZB[Z5] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH 3 3
/ZN[Z5] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH 1 3
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX 1 3
/GC[Z5] Gold Futures, ETH -3 -3
/CL[X5] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH -2 -3
/DX[Z5] US Dollar Index Futures 3 2
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX -3 -3
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average -3 -3
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX -3 -3
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX -3 -3
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX -3 -3
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX 1 -1
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND -3 -3

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

Looking for opportunities in the rubble – but most stocks are still in overvalued territory – I expect more pain in the short term.

z - even even smaller

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply