Short and Medium Term Market Trends: 2-25-2016

Market Traget Crossword

I highly recommend this animation Bloomberg prepared on the Oil Crisis and Electric Cars:

You don’t have to agree with it to find it interesting.

So how are the Markets doing?  Everything is rallying – Stocks, Bonds, even Gold?  Hard to figure out what message the market is sending, other than a fear of missing out.

Let’s look at the Tape:

The following chart is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average 3 2
SPX S&P 500 INDEX 3 2
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX 3 -1
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX 3 -1
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX -3 -2
/ZB[H6] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH 3 3
/ZN[H6] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH 3 3
/GC[J6] Gold Futures, ETH 3 3
/CL[H6] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH 3 -1
/DX[H6] US Dollar Index Futures 2 -1
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average 3 2
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX 3 2
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX 3 2
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX 3 2
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX 3 2
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX 3 -1
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX 3 3
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX 3 -1
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND 2 -1

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

z - even even smaller

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