For you Bernie Sanders fans – check out how Socialist Paradise, Venezuela is doing:
Say what you will about the quality of the other folks running for president – I would take any of them over Bernie (not feeling the Bern!) Scary that he is doing so well:
So how are our markets doing? I have rarely seen a market so overbought and overvalued – Janet Yellen is really earning her paycheck – but I would not put new money to work here – in fact, If the market continues to melt up, I will be looking to sell more equity holdings before the summer. The only things getting crushed are Volatility and the Dollar.
The following chart is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3. This helps us keep our trading with the trend.
Symbol | Description | Short Term Trend | Medium Term Trend |
$DJI | Dow Jones Industrial Average | 3 | 3 |
SPX | S&P 500 INDEX | 3 | 3 |
RUT | RUSSELL 2000 INDEX | 3 | 3 |
NDX | NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX | 3 | 3 |
VIX | CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX | -3 | -3 |
/ZB[M6] | 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH | 3 | 3 |
/ZN[M6] | 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH | 3 | 3 |
/GC[M6] | Gold Futures, ETH | 2 | 3 |
/CL[K6] | Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH | 3 | 3 |
/DX[M6] | US Dollar Index Futures | -3 | -3 |
$DJT | Dow Jones Transportation Average | -2 | 1 |
XLK | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX | 3 | 3 |
XLI | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX | 1 | 3 |
XLY | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX | 3 | 3 |
XLB | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX | 3 | 3 |
XLE | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX | 3 | 3 |
XLP | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX | 3 | 3 |
XLV | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX | 3 | 3 |
XLU | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX | 1 | 3 |
XLF | SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND | 1 | 3 |
Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.
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