Short and Medium Term Market Trends

Market Traget Crossword

For you Bernie Sanders fans – check out how Socialist Paradise, Venezuela is doing:

Say what you will about the quality of the other folks running for president – I would take any of them over Bernie (not feeling the Bern!)  Scary that he is doing so well:

So how are our markets doing?  I have rarely seen a market so overbought and overvalued – Janet Yellen is really earning her paycheck – but I would not put new money to work here – in fact, If the market continues to melt up, I will be looking to sell more equity holdings before the summer.  The only things getting crushed are Volatility and the Dollar.

The following chart is based on the Z Option Market Analysis Tool – which determines if a market is trending by assigning a trending score from -3 to +3.  This helps us keep our trading with the trend.

Symbol Description Short Term Trend Medium Term Trend
$DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average 3 3
SPX S&P 500 INDEX 3 3
RUT RUSSELL 2000 INDEX 3 3
NDX NASDAQ-100 INDEX INDEX 3 3
VIX CBOE MARKET VOLATILITY INDEX -3 -3
/ZB[M6] 30-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Futures,ETH 3 3
/ZN[M6] 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note Futures,ETH 3 3
/GC[M6] Gold Futures, ETH 2 3
/CL[K6] Light Sweet Crude Oil Futures,ETH 3 3
/DX[M6] US Dollar Index Futures -3 -3
$DJT Dow Jones Transportation Average -2 1
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST TECHNOLOGY SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST INDUSTRIAL SELECT INDEX 1 3
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER DIS SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLB SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST MATERIALS SELECT SEC INDEX 3 3
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST ENERGY SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST CONSUMER STAPLES INDEX 3 3
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST HEALTH CARE SELECT INDEX 3 3
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST UTILITIES SELECT INDEX 1 3
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR TRUST FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR FUND 1 3

Any market showing a 3 or a -3 is trending strongly – and should be factored into any options strategy you are contemplating.

z - even even smaller

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