Stock Picks – 52 Week Low Screen: 10-14-2015

52 Week Low

This might be crazy talk – but I am actually looking at the GAP for an investment – if it can just stop going down!  Morningstar lowered their fair value estimate to $45.00 per share yesterday, but it is trading under $27.00?  Looks like a compelling value, and even has a decent dividend.  But, I must ask for the 11th time, does anybody shop there anymore?  I know my kids get clothes from Old Navy (which they own along with Banana Republic), but their President just left to become CEO of Ralph Lauren.  I will be taking a look at their options today.

Name Ticker Price Fair Value Margin of Safety Yield % MOS %
Gap Inc GPS $26.95 $45.00 $18.05 3.39 40.11%

Based on the following screen:

  • 52 Week Low Screen:
  1. Morningstar analysis available.
  2. Less than 5% above its 52 week low.
  3. Greater than or equal to Narrow moat.
  4. Free cash flow/enterprise value greater than 5% (should be above what the 10 Year Treasury Bond is yielding).
  5. Financial Health Grade >= B.
  6. Forward P/E <= 20.
  7. Stock Industry not = Asset Management
  8. Dividend Yield % >= 2.5
  9. For candidates that have passed all the filters, review the individual stocks Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for the previous 10 years to select the best long term candidates.

z - even even smaller

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